The idea that polls, a month-and-a-half out, can allow one to reliably predict the outcome of an election, annoys me to no end. At best, polls give the chattering class something to talk about while giving the political class an idea of how they should change their strategies. At worst, polls can be pushed and manipulated to make news instead of reporting statistics.
There is only one poll that counts: November 2, 2010. We won't be going to Abilene this time, folks.